People in the effective altruism community aim to use evidence and careful reasoning to work out how to best promote the wellbeing of all. To find the highest-impact charities this giving season, they’ve done tens of thousands of hours of research and published over 50,000 words of analysis this month. We read it all, and summed up the main recommendations by area below (not in priority order):
- Climate change
- Criminal justice (US-focused)
- Effective altruism promotion and research
- Factory farming
- Global health and development
- Mental health
- Nuclear security
- Risks from artificial intelligence
But which of the 9 problem areas listed below should you personally give to? We’ve got you covered here too. This tool asks you six questions and adjusts the ranking based on your beliefs:2
Below, you can find (i) how we came up with the list, (ii) more advice on how to narrow down the list, (iii) more information on each charity.
What resources did we draw on?
We read all the relevant documents produced by the effective altruism community this giving season:
- GiveWell’s charity recommendations for 2016, and information on where their staff are giving. GiveWell is the world’s leading charity evaluator, and has a team of 30 who do in-depth research to identify the best evidence-backed charities focused on the global poor.
- Open Philanthropy Project’s suggestions for individual donors. Open Philanthropy is a partnership between Good Ventures – an $8bn foundation co-founded by Dustin Moskovitz (co-founder of Facebook) and Cari Tuna (former WSJ journalist) – and GiveWell. Though note that “These are reasonably strong options in causes of interest, and shouldn’t be taken as outright recommendations.”
- Animal Charity Evaluators’ charity recommendations for 2016, and information on where their staff are giving.
- The Centre for Effective Altruism’s staff giving recommendations.
- Thoughts from various other people in the EA community on where they are giving including a review of organisations focussed on artificial intelligence and a case for MIRI.
- The ranking of problem areas, which is also used in the tool, is based on this research.
We chose the organisations that seemed to be supported by the largest number of authorities in each category.
I also used to be head of research at Giving What We Can and have worked at the Centre for Effective Altruism for four years. In the case of animal charities I used my own judgement to keep the number of options manageable.
What strategy should you follow when deciding where to give?
Here’s a series of steps we suggest going through to make the best decision:
- Do you trust someone else? If you know someone who shares your values and has already put a lot of thought into where to give, then consider simply going with their recommendations. If not, it’s time to do your own research.
If you have under $10,000 to give, consider entering a donor lottery. You can give up $5,000 in exchange for 5% chance of donating $100,000. In the case where you win, you can do a tonne of research into where is best to give. Otherwise, someone else does that extensive research and decides. More information here. When it comes to doing that research, here’s what we recommend:
First, decide how much research to do. The more you’re giving as a percentage of your annual income, the more time to spend doing research – a 1% donation is worth a few hours work, while a 50% donation could be worth a month of research. In addition, the more you expect your mind to change, the more research to do – if you’re giving 10% and don’t imagine a few days of research would change your mind about which option is best , probably just give there. Now here’s how to go about the research:
Decide which problem areas are most pressing. You want to find charities that are working on big, but neglected problems, where there’s a clear route to progress, because this is where it’s easiest to have a big impact.
If you’re new to 80,000 Hours, see our guide to comparing global problems and our current views.
If already you’re familiar with the basics of problem selection, check the section further down with tips about which to choose.
Find the best organisations within your top 2-3 problem areas. Look for those that are well-run, have a great team, and are working on a great program. Many charitable programs don’t work, so focus on organisations that either (i) implement programs that have been rigorously tested (most haven’t) or (ii) are running pilot programs that will be tested in the future, or (iii) that have a “high-risk, high-reward” proposition, such as scientific research, policy advocacy, or the potential to grow very rapidly – if the upside is high enough, it can be worth supporting even if the probability of success is low. We list organisations within each problem area we’ve reviewed below.
If you have to break a tie, choose the one that’s furthest from meeting its funding needs. Some organisations already have a lot of funding relative to what they can do with it. For instance, GiveWell has tried to find a good vaccine organisation to fund, but organisations like the Gates Foundation take all the good opportunities. You can assess room for funding by looking at where the organisation intends to spend additional donations, either by reading their plans or talking to them. Or you could see that one is further from meetings its baseline funding to continue operating. This consideration is a bit less important than others – if you support a great organisation working on a neglected problem, then they’ll probably figure out a good way to use the money even if they get a lot.
Where would I give?
Working through this process myself, I am most drawn to two causes:
- Reducing the risk of global catastrophes, especially from new technologies that could threaten us all.
- Promoting effective altruism, in part because doing so will indirectly reduce the risk of global catastrophes.
You can hear a presentation from me from Effective Altruism Global that helps to explain my perspective on this. In brief, I believe that the welfare of future generations matters almost as much as people alive now; that the future of humanity could be very long and very good; and that we can materially reduce the probability of human civilization’s future potential being curtailed.
In light of that my shortlist is:
- Machine Intelligence Research Institute
- Future of Humanity Institute
- 80,000 Hours (yes, I work here so might be biased)
- Center for Effective Altruism
I would then choose between these largely on the basis of which one was furthest from meeting its funding needs. I believe that the Future of Humanity Institute is relatively better funded than the rest, so would probably prioritise the other three.
However, I don’t think I would go too wrong choosing from any of these options, and as I only have a few thousand dollars to give, would simply make a decision at that point.
Alternatively, I could join the donor lottery described above. Then if I won the right to disperse $100,000 I could do a more serious investigation of each of their plans and make an even more informed decision.
What has changed since last year?
The biggest single shift in our advice from last year is that we are no longer recommending that donors give to GiveWell’s poverty-focussed charities by default. Why is that? Two reasons:
- In the past GiveWell has stood out as the most developed evaluator of charities focussed on medium sized donors. That’s remains true, but other sources of advice like the Open Philanthropy Project and Animal Charity Evaluators are closing the gap.
- Our goal is to recommend places to give that maximise the ‘expected value’ of donations.1 This is similar to GiveWell’s goal, but not exactly the same. For one, in recent years GiveWell has narrowed its focus to charities that help the worst off people in the developing world – it does not consider alternative problem areas that might offer a higher ‘expected value’. We think there are probably problem areas that are more pressing than international development. And secondly, GiveWell recommends charities based on four criteria: Evidence, Cost-effectiveness, Transparency and Room for more funding. These criteria assess expected value, but penalise riskier or more innovative options that can’t yet point to a track record of success. We think it’s likely that some options like this are higher impact, even just within global health, such vaccine research or development policy advocacy.
We now suggest first picking a problem you want to donate to, and then going with the suggestions in that problem.
More information on each option
The Blue Ribbon Study Panel on Biodefense
Jaime Yassif is the program officer for biosecurity at the Open Philanthropy Project and suggests giving to The Blue Ribbon Study Panel on Biodefense. This is a bipartisan group of former high-level policymakers and government officials with experience and interest in public health preparedness, biosecurity, and biodefense.
Cool Earth aims to reduce the impacts of climate change by combating deforestation in a variety of rainforest locations. Cool Earth does not buy rainforest directly, but rather establishes sustainable agreements with local communities to ensure that local communities opt not to sell the nearby forest to loggers.
Note that this recommendation has been investigated less than many others in the list, and was chosen in part for robustness of evidence. Advocacy organisations might be more effective again but their impact would be difficult to quantify.
Alliance for Safety and Justice
The Alliance for Safety and Justice is a US organization that aims to reduce incarceration and racial disparities in incarceration in states across the country, and replace mass incarceration with new safety priorities that prioritize prevention and protect low-income communities of color.
It’s suggested by Chloe Cockburn, the program officer for criminal justice reform for the Open Philanthropy Project.
Cosecha is a group organizing undocumented immigrants in 50-60 cities around the country. Its goal is to build mass popular support for undocumented immigrants, in resistance to incarceration/detention, deportation, denigration of rights, and discrimination. The group has become especially active since the Presidential election, given the immediate threat of mass incarceration and deportation of millions of people.
It is also suggested by Chloe Cockburn, the program officer for criminal justice reform for the Open Philanthropy Project.
Effective altruism promotion and research
With both of these recommendations there is a potential bias in us recommending donating to the problem area that we ourselves work in, and the broader organisation we work for (we are part of CEA).
However, we are working on this problem because we believe it’s highly effective – so it would also be problematic for us not to mention something we really do believe is worth funding. So here’s a sincere recommendation, but take it with a pinch of salt!
If you’d like to support similar work from an organisation that is independent of us, you could give to support GiveWell’s research instead. The reason GiveWell is not prioritised here is that it does not have much difficulty meeting its funding needs.
Another option is the Effective Altruism Giving Group Donor Advised Fund, which can provide more independent advice on where to give in this area. You can express interest in joining that donor advised fund here.
Centre for Effective Altruism (CEA)
The Centre for Effective Altruism aims to create a global community of people who have made helping others a core part of their lives, and who use evidence and scientific reasoning to figure out how to do so as effectively as possible.
- Read why Alex Gordon-Brown and Denise Melchin are giving to CEA.
- Read why Nick Beckstead suggests giving to CEA.
- Read CEA’s funding prospectus.
80,000 Hours, as you may know, conducts research into how people can help a lot of people in a big way through their careers, and then uses an online guide and workshops to encourage people to take those paths.
- Read why Nick Beckstead suggests giving to 80,000 Hours.
- Read why Alexander Gordon Brown and Denise Melchin are giving to 80,000 Hours.
- Read 80,000 Hours’ case for funding.
Animal Charity Evaluators (ACE)
Animal Charity Evaluators conducts research in order to find and advocate for highly effective opportunities to improve the lives of animals. It then encourages donations to the charities it recommends.
Compassion in World Farming
Compassion in World Farming USA promotes changes in conditions for farming animals including layer hens and broiler chickens through regulatory and corporate outreach.
Alternatively, Animal Charity Evaluators recently released their three recommended charities for 2016 – Mercy for Animals, the Good Food Institute and The Humane League.
Strong Minds treats women in Uganda with depression through talk therapy groups led by community workers.
Three GiveWell researchers donated to it because “Strong Minds’ program has randomized evidence of effectiveness, is in [our] assessment potentially highly cost-effective, and is supported by monitoring published online.”
Nick Beckstead researches a range of topics at the Open Philanthropy Project including reducing the risk of global catastrophes and tentatively recommends the Ploughshares Fund.
The Ploughshares Fund is a public grantmaking foundation that supports initiatives to prevent the spread and use of nuclear, biological and chemical weapons and other weapons of war, and to prevent conflicts that could lead to the use of weapons of mass destruction.
Poverty and global health
GiveWell and Good Ventures have given funding to seven groups, and left funding gaps in two charities it is recommending to other donors. These are the most thoroughly vetted charities on this list.
Against Malaria Foundation (AMF)
AMF distributes insecticide treated bednets that prevent children from dying of malaria and promotes poverty reductions through better health.
Schistosomiasis Control Initiative (SCI)
SCI treats school children for intestinal parasites that lower school attendance and seem to lower income from work in later life.
How to decide between these two?
- If you feel more enthusiastic about taking a risky bet on a bigger outcome, that counts in favour of the Schistosomiasis Control Initiative. Learn more about the evidence for and against deworming.
- More of the benefit of the Against Malaria Foundation comes from preventing young children from dying. So if that is more important to you (relative to reducing lethargy and spurring economic development), that counts in favour of the Against Malaria Foundation. Learn more about value judgement and how they affect GiveWell’s charity recommendations.
Or, to keep things simple you can follow GiveWell’s suggested 75:25 split between AMF and SCI.
Risks from artificial intelligence
Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI)
Machine Intelligence Research Institute conducts technical research in mathematics, computer science and philosophy, intended to reduce potential risks from advanced artificial intelligence.
A number of researchers in effective altruism support giving to MIRI:
- Why Ben Hoskin is giving to MIRI
- Why Owen Cotton-Barratt at the Centre for Effective Altruism is giving to MIRI
- Why Daniel Dewey at the Open Philanthropy Project suggests giving to MIRI
Future of Humanity Institute (FHI)
The Future of Humanity Institute is an interdisciplinary research centre at the University of Oxford investigating big-picture questions about humanity and its prospects. In particular, it focuses on preventing risks of disaster.
A number of other researchers support giving to the Future of Humanity Institute:
- Why Daniel Dewey at the Open Philanthropy Project suggests giving to the Future of Humanity Institute
- Why Ben Hoskin is giving to FHI
Still haven’t decided where to give?
Remember to use our quiz first:
If you’re giving more than $10,000 and still can’t decide, fill out this form and we might get in touch!