Every year around ten million people in poorer countries die of illnesses that can be very cheaply prevented or managed, including malaria, HIV, tuberculosis and diarrhoea.
Around $100 is spent on the healthcare of the poorest 2 billion people per capita each year (adjusted for purchasing power). As a result there remain many opportunities to scale up treatments that are known to prevent or cure these conditions.
Options for working on the problem include serving as a donor to effective projects, working as an economist in intergovernmental organizations such as the World Bank or World Health Organization, or starting or working in a non-profit that scales up proven treatments.
Our overall view
This is a pressing problem to work on, but you may be able to have an even bigger impact by working on something else.
The damage done by easily preventable diseases in the least developed countries plus India is between 200 million DALYs and 500 million DALYs per year.
The least developed countries plus India spend about $300 billion on health each year (PPP).
The problem is mostly a matter of scaling up approaches that are known with near certainty to work if done correctly.
April 3rd, 2016
What is the problem?
Every year around ten million people in poorer countries die of illnesses that can be very cheaply prevented or managed, including malaria, HIV, tuberculosis and diarrhoea. Tens of millions more suffer from persistent undernutrition or parasitic diseases that cause them to be less mentally and physically capable than they otherwise would be.
Why is this problem pressing?
What is our recommendation based on?
Focussing on basic health treatments in the developing world is supported by GiveWell, the Global Priorities Project, the Copenhagen Consensus. In addition to that the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation with which we share many values, spends most of its money on this cause. Our recommendation is a compilation of their findings, as well as basic data from the Global Burden of Disease and World Bank, among others.
Why is it pressing?
These diseases cause unnecessary suffering and death both to victims and their families. They also lead to a range of other negative effects:
- Lower educational attainment.
- Lethargy and reduced ability to think and work.
- Worse health later in life.
- Higher birth rates to compensate for infant mortality.
In many cases these diseases or their impacts can be largely eliminated with cheap technologies that are known to work and have existed for decades. For example:
- Malaria is prevented by insecticide-treated bednets.
- TB is almost always cured by sustained treatment with antibiotics (so called DOTS).
- People with HIV live nearly normal lifespans, and rarely pass on the virus to others, if promptly and consistently treated with anti-retroviral drugs.
- Diarrhoea can be prevented through better sanitation, and death prevented by oral rehydration therapy.
- Parasitic diseases can be cured with a pill that costs under $1 a year.
- A range of other diseases can be prevented through the the basic vaccination program (e.g. diphtheria, whooping cough, etc).
While the cost-effectiveness of the above approaches ranges quite widely, they can in most cases generate an extra year of healthy life for under $1,000, in a few cases for less than $100.
Over the last 60 years, death rates from several of these diseases have been more than halved using these techniques, suggesting a very clear way to make progress.
What are the major arguments against it being pressing?
- You might think that it is not a particularly neglected problem, given it is very widely recognised and is funded by organizations, including aid agencies, with billions of dollars to spend each year. Governments in developing countries are also making significant progress in improving health, although some gaps certainly remain in practice. In this view it will be hard to find exceptional opportunities because there are so many other people trying to do so.
- You might worry that reducing poverty and improving health in poor countries will not have major long-run effects on the future, which will instead be determined in other ways, for example through war or the invention of new technologies.
- You might think that other means for reducing poverty will be more effective, such as reforming government and legal institutions in developing countries.
Key judgement calls made to prioritise this problem
- That the lives of people in other countries are not much less important than the lives of people in the country you (probably) live in.
- That improving health will cause developing countries to become sustainably richer and nicer to live in, for example by reducing fertility or improving education and governance.
What can you do about this problem?
What’s most needed to contribute to this problem?
Deliver basic health services to all people who have or are at risk of contracting easily prevented contagious diseases. For example:
- Get all children to receive the basic schedule of vaccinations (currently around 85% do).
- Get everyone exposed to malaria sleeping under bednets. Currently a bit over half of people in the relevant parts of Africa have access to bednets.
- Get all TB cases treated – currently at least a third are not diagnosed.
- Ensure everyone has access to clean drinking water – currently at least a billion people do not.
This is primarily a funding and logistical issue. The treatments are usually simple and do not require advanced medical training to deliver (though treatment of TB and HIV requires medical oversight).
What skill sets and resources are most needed?
- The ability to fundraise large sums, or move money within bureaucracies to better projects.
- People with on-the-ground logistical skills in international development (i.e. the kind of person who could get 100,000 malaria nets distributed in Africa).
- Entrepreneurs (mostly in non-profits but also sometimes for-profits) who could found one of these charities.
- Development economists and cost-effectiveness researchers, including economists, statisticians and disease control experts.
- Money to fund GiveWell recommended charities.
We think that people capable of starting outstanding projects in this area are likely to be able to attract the necessary funding, making the area mostly talent constrained.
Who is working on this problem?
What can you concretely do to help?
Some especially recommended organisations
Want to work on this problem?
Go and update your career plan to make sure you actually work on it.
Make my plan
Think you should work on something else?
Take our quiz to get more ideas on which global problem you should work on. It’s only six questions.
Take the quiz
Or join our newsletter and get notified when we release new problem profiles.